Freddie
Hides in the HedgesBy
Susan LeeMember of the Editorial Board THE WALL STREET JOURNAL July
15, 2003
“It seems likely that Freddie Mac engaged in overhedging or speculation
so that its portfolio did even better than one would expect,” says Janet
Tavakoli, head of Tavakoli Structured Finance. “If the hedges were biased
to do well when rates fell, then it’s probable the portfolio was underhedged
for a potential rise in interest rates."
If Ms. Tavakoli is right, then Fred's gains would be a delicious counterpoint
to what happened at Fannie Mae last year. Fannie, which was underhedged for a
fall in interest rates and thus possibly speculating that interest rates would
go up, lost billions of dollars when rates moved down. Another possibility of
course is that Fred was neither speculating nor hedging. The misplaced gain might
have been hidden in a derivative designed to defer income or create the appearance
that income occurred in later years -- a ploy that Fred disguised as a hedge.
END OF EXCERPT
Janet Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli Structured Finance, a
Chicago-based firm that provides consulting to financial institutions
and institutional investors. Ms. Tavakoli has more than 20 years
of experience in senior investment banking positions, trading, structuring
and marketing structured financial products. She is a former adjunct
professor of derivatives at the University of Chicago's Graduate
School of Business. She is the author of: Credit
Derivatives & Synthetic
Structures (John Wiley & Sons, 1998, 2001), Structured
Finance & Collateralized
Debt Obligations (John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Janet Tavakoli's book on the global financial
meltdown is Dear Mr. Buffett: What An Investor Learns 1,269
Miles From Wall Street (Wiley 2009).
Clients of Tavakoli Structured Finance have the
benefit of proprietary consultation, which is not available in
any other paid or public
forum. Clients also commission proprietary research and analysis.
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