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Unrelated
to total return swaps (mentioned as being discussed
with potential counterparties in my note referenced below),
which are a true risk transfer when done without floors,
the WSJ had to retract information from a different source
related to claims of a puttable-ABCP transaction. In addition,
WSJ omitted the portion in my note that the risk reduction
would only occur if Merrill found counterparties [for the transactions
under discussion]. My accounting point was how one would calculate
the net reduction in exposure
if there is significant residual credit risk.
Accounting does not provide the necessary transparency. Merrill
did not take issue with the information on total return swaps
saying it had properly accounted for all of its transactions
with hedge funds.
Merrill has not explained exactly how it achieved
its reported total reduction in exposure, however. Subsequent
to the WSJ's November 2 article referenced below, Merrill announced
its total exposure to CDOs and subprime mortgages is around
$27.2 billion (including exposures in the bank and thrift entities)
of $6.3 billion more than it disclosed in late October in its
third
quarter
release..
Deals
with Hedge Funds May be Helping Merrill Delay Mortgage Losses
($)
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL - PAGE
ONE November 2, 2007
By Susan Pulliam
EXCERPT
"Merrill
has been making the rounds asking hedge funds to engage in
one-year off-balance-sheet credit facilities," Janet
Tavakoli, who consults for investors about derivatives,
told clients in a recent note. "One fund claimed that Merrill
was offering a floor return (set buy-back price)," she said
in the note, "so this risk would return to Merrill." Ms.
Tavakoli said such transactions would explain how Merrill's mortgage-related
exposure dropped in the third quarter.
END
OF EXCERPT
Note:
In the article, my comments with respect to trades with hedge
funds concern the potential counterparty
credit
risks
posed
by
hedge funds, assuming Merrill
was even able to find counterpaties for the proposed transactions.
These transactions may be completely appropriate provided there
is
a true transfer
of risk and reward, and provided that associated options, if
any, are correctly priced and potential exposure is properly
recorded.
Merrill, however, did not provide sufficient transparency to
draw any conclusions when asked about its hedges and how it accomplished
its reduction in ABS
CDO exposure
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