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Michael
Lewis: Junior Salesgirlieman
Huffington Post– March
15, 2010
By Janet Tavakoli
I was in the Salomon Brothers’ 1985
training class that Michael Lewis lampooned
in his amusing book, Liar’s
Poker.
Imagine my surprise to see him billed
as a trader on 60 Minutes, since he was
actually a junior salesman. Well-heeled
male peacocks strutted the trading floor,
and junior salesmen were girlie-men,
mere eunuchs serving their pashas.
Michael
hit the
roof when I ribbed him about the mischaracterization.*
Yet, in January
2007 he didn’t spare the “wimps,
ninnies, and pointless skeptics” at Davos. I
wasn’t
at Davos (Michael wasn't either), but he derided people
who staked their reputations--as I staked mine--on the fact that
the financial
system was in peril.
One might think he’d have a thicker skin, when turnabout
was fairplay and truth was his casualty.
”Michael had asserted “Davos
Man…will brood about virtually anything, no matter how
little he knows about it.” He ridiculed their concern of
a pending crisis due to the surge in derivatives demand and called
it “this year’s case in point.” Then Michael
showed how dangerous it is to be a brilliant writer with a poor
command of facts and
their true meaning:
"None
of them seemed to understand that when you create a derivative
you don’t
add to the sum of total risk in the financial world; you merely
create a means for redistributing that risk.
They have no evidence that financial risk is being redistributed
in ways we should all worry about."
Actually,
there was a lot of evidence that risk was being “redistributed” in
ways we should all worry about. Predatory
lending was a national
scandal. I was well-published on phony securitizations, phony
AAA ratings, phony accounting—and the mother of all risk—excessive
leverage on securities that could only plummet in value.
Other serious
people also spoke and wrote eloquently and accurately about
the risks. They were often ridiculed by mainstream media
girlie-men and intimidated by their bosses. Some--like my friend,
Arturo Cifuentes--stood their ground and were maliciously
fired for it.** Meanwhile, Michael was still
cheerleading Wall Street:
"But
the most striking thing about the growing derivatives markets
is the stability that has come with them."
Derivatives
had destabilized the global financial system, albeit Michael
was clueless. Leverage
was much more dangerous than at
the time of Long Term Capital Management’s implosion. Then
Michael gave us the payoff:
"If
they really believe the markets mispriced risk…they
must also believe they could make vast sums of money if they
quit their day jobs and opened a hedge fund to take the other
side of stupid trades."
Exactly.
That is what I wrote to risk managers at the same time Michael
was penning
his screed. I told them to get out of investment
banks and short
those trades, since bank managers had their boots
on the necks of risk managers, as regulators and the media licked
the managers’ boots.
Michael
had it wrong in more than one profound way. The markets weren’t just “mispricing risk,” those in-the-know
were manipulating prices—covering up malfeasance and losses.
Meanwhile, some members of the fourth estate used their pernicious
pens as pawns in the cover-up.
All of the
legacy investment banks enabled
predatory lending, yet they
now perpetrate
what Elizabeth Warren calls the “myth
of the immoral debtor.” Wall Street banks were the
key architects of the financial meltdown. The Fed provided cheap
money, but irresponsible financiers exploited it. Banks massively
over-borrowed, their agents extracted billions in bonuses, and
now they
blame hard-working taxpayers. These predators call this “God’s
work,’ while most of the media
covers-up for them.
Michael Lewis is Wrong Again: It was Fraud
Michael
wrote me that he read my
book on structured finance while he was working on
his book, because “it inspired one of the main characters” of The
Big Short. Yet, he mangled
the facts in his eagerness to create a story, since
it is again fashionable—and profitable—for
Michael to bash Wall Street.
Michael
told 60 Minutes (March
14) the financial crisis is a story
of mass delusion, but he's only deluding himself.
It takes
courage to tell the real story. This is actually a story of
Wall Street’s massive, wide-spread, multi-year
fraud, including accounting
fraud.
I appeared on 60
Minutes (February 14) and said Wall Street’s
dealings with mortgage lenders, securitizations, derivatives,
and investors
were a massive
Ponzi scheme, the biggest crime ever against the American economy.
Wall
Street and Washington hope you are gullible enough to believe
otherwise.
The Washington
Post says his book reads like the “same
smart-alecky Michael Lewis,” a biased account of
industry players “whom he holds up to ridicule for
their arrogance.” I’m
sure I’ll enjoy it for the irony.
*We are not colleagues, but have exchanged the occasional email.
**Arturo
Cifuentes, Ph.D., later joined R.W. Pressprich & Co.
and is currently a professor at the University of Chile. As a
Sr. V.P. at Moody’s, he developed early CDO technology
(where his ratings had meaning) from 1996-1999. Upon my recommendation, Dr.
Cifuentes testified before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing
and Urban Affairs in April 2008 about subsequent unsound
practices and the role of the credit rating agencies in the global
financial turmoil.
Janet Tavakoli's book
on the global financial meltdown and how to fix it is Dear
Mr. Buffett: What An Investor Learns 1,269 Miles From Wall Street (Wiley
2009)
Janet
Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli
Structured Finance, a Chicago-based firm
that provides consulting to financial institutions
and institutional investors. Ms. Tavakoli
has more than 20 years
of experience in senior investment banking
positions, trading, structuring and marketing
structured financial products. She
is a former adjunct professor of derivatives
at the University of Chicago's Graduate
School of Business. She is the author of: Credit
Derivatives & Synthetic
Structures (John
Wiley & Sons,
1998, 2001), Structured
Finance & Collateralized
Debt Obligations (John
Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Janet
Tavakoli's book on the global financial meltdown is Dear
Mr. Buffett: What An Investor
Learns 1,269 Miles From
Wall Street (Wiley 2009)
Clients
of Tavakoli Structured Finance
have the benefit of proprietary consultation, which is
not available in any other paid or public forum. Clients
also commission proprietary research and analysis.
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