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Role
of Banks Eyed in Greek Debt Crisis
Globe and Mail– February
26, 2010
By Barrie McKenna and Joanna Slaten
Ms.
Tavakoli said Mr. Bernanke didn't go nearly far enough in using
moral
suasion to rein in the trading of such instruments. [Any type
of speculative transaction that would have the effect of increasing
the cost of sovereign debt borrowing.] “He
should say, ‘We're not going to tolerate anything that
could contribute to the destabilization of Greece,'” she
said, rather than, “‘Be careful, we might wag our
finger in your face.'” She said she doubted anything
concrete would emerge from the Fed's scrutiny of such instruments.
End of Excerpt
JT
Note: Speaking of faltering economies, while
Ben Bernanke and Chris Dodd are investigating
transactions that destabilize countries,
they should open investigations into
the massive number of phoney securitizations
issued by U.S. investment banking firms
that helped destabilize the U.S. economy
in recent years and contributed to
the woes of the global economy. They
might
look into the derivatives transactions,
too. They seem determined to ignore
the blindingly obvious at home.
With respect to the EU, there are separate
issues involving 1) the original legal
asset securitizations for EU countries
and 2) the current use of market instruments
for hedging and speculation. The appropriate
questions should be directed to the
business purposes of the transactions.
The EU is shocked—shocked I tell
you!—that weaker members used
legal financial engineering to qualify
for
admission. Exactly how did they think
these countries managed to meet the
requirements? Leaders would have you
believe they lack
basic human curiosity. Countries may
or may not have had legitimate plans
to employ the present value of future
receivables for a purpose that could
generate better returns as opposed
to say, blowing it all on national
bling.
In some cases, using the national credit
card (backed by future receivables)
may have been a futile attempt to appear
prosperous enough to keep up with the
Joneses. In a faltering global economy,
the pain would be inevitable.
The financial media reports that sovereign
credit derivatives are a fraction of
the total debt issued. While that is
true, it doesn’t take much to
start a run on a country, because trading
on
the margin sets the price. Chairman
Bernanke is right to question all related
transactions,
not just derivatives. One would want
to investigate a variety of speculative
transactions that have the effect of
driving down
debt prices. The issue is the business
purpose. While
banks
may
want
to claim they are doing customer business,
one should remember that Goldman Sachs
claimed its destabilizing transactions
with AIG were “customer business.” How
did that work out?
Janet
Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli
Structured Finance, a Chicago-based firm
that provides consulting to financial institutions
and institutional investors. Ms. Tavakoli
has more than 20 years
of experience in senior investment banking
positions, trading, structuring and marketing
structured financial products. She
is a former adjunct professor of derivatives
at the University of Chicago's Graduate
School of Business. She is the author of: Credit
Derivatives & Synthetic Structures (John
Wiley & Sons,
1998, 2001), Structured
Finance & Collateralized Debt
Obligations (John
Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Janet
Tavakoli's book on the global financial meltdown is Dear
Mr. Buffett: What An Investor
Learns 1,269 Miles From
Wall Street (Wiley 2009)
Clients
of Tavakoli Structured Finance
have the benefit of proprietary consultation, which is
not available in any other paid or public forum. Clients
also commission proprietary research and analysis.
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