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Geithner,
as Member and Overseer, Forged Ties to Finance Club (Excerpt)
New
York Times - April 27, 2009
by Jo
Becker and Grethchen Morgenson
In
making the Bear deal, the New York Fed agreed to
accept Bear’s own calculations of the value
of assets acquired with taxpayer money, even though
those values were almost certain
to decline as the economy deteriorated. Although Fed officials
argue that they can hold onto those assets until they increase
in value, to date taxpayers have lost 3.4 billion. Even these
losses are probably understated, given how the Federal Reserve
priced the holdings, said Janet
Tavakoli, president of Tavakoli
Structured Finance, a consulting firm in Chicago. “You
can assume that it has used magical thinking in valuing these
assets,” she said.
End of Excerpt
JT
Note: I have already made public
part of my basis for the statement about the Fed’s magical
thinking in valuing assets, and I also raised concerns
about
Blackrock's role.
Blackrock
has not inspired me with confidence given its track record both
as an investor in related securities and as a CDO
manager. How does Blackrock Financial Management explain its
role as CDO manager in some horrific 2007 vintage CDOs such as
Pacific Pinnacle CDO ($1 billion; closed 1/1/07; EOD 2/4/08);
Pinnacle Point Funding ($2B closed 6/7/07; acceleration 12/13/07);
Tenorite CDO I ($1 B closed 5/11/07; liquidation 2/7/08);
or Tourmaline CDO III ($1.5 billion closed 4/5/07; EOD 3/31/08)?
In my opinion, Blackrock is too close to the problem to be objective,
and no bid contracts were inappropriate. [Disclosure: In some
respects I am a competitor of Blackrock in that I could have
assembled a valuation team. I was not approached,
however, and I am not a government contractor.]
The
following is from Dear
Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street p.
198 (John Wiley & Sons 2009):
“What happened to the $30 billion in Bear Stearns’ mortgage-backed
products that the Federal Reserve bought through JPMorgan? From
March to June 2008, it lost more than $1.1 billion in value;
it has already eaten through JPMorgan’s $1 billion ‘cushion’ and
is now eating into taxpayer dollars. It is a sticky bomb, as
dangerous as the makeshift explosives stuck to tanks during World
War II. In June 2008, the Fed admitted that it priced the assets
as if we were in an ‘orderly market.’ But we are
not in an orderly market, so the price should be lower, meaning
we do not know how much taxpayer money is at risk. Who is helping
the Fed price these securities since it cannot price the sticky
bomb itself? Blackrock. Blackrock lost money when it invested
in the Peloton fund that bought overrated and overpriced mortgage
backed securities. They should know all about getting taken for
a ride. Jamie Dimon claimed he by no means saddled the Fed with
Bear Stearns’s riskiest assets. Given the performance of
the assets the Fed took on board, JPMorgan’s shareholders
may not feel reassured by Jamie’s testimony before the
Senate Banking Committee.”
Of course, the Fed
subsequently took on more assets from AIG and more that have
deteriorated in value. As of December 31,
2008, the Fed admits to $9.6 billion of unrealized losses (“Bear,
AIG Dumped $74 Billion in Subprime, CDOs on Fed,” Bloomberg
News, April 24, 2009.
Janet
Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli Structured
Finance, a Chicago-based firm that provides consulting to financial
institutions
and institutional investors. Ms. Tavakoli has more than 20
years of experience in senior investment banking positions, trading,
structuring and marketing structured financial products. She
is a former adjunct professor of derivatives at the University
of Chicago's Graduate School of Business. She is the author
of:
Credit
Derivatives & Synthetic Structures (John Wiley & Sons,
1998, 2001), Structured
Finance & Collateralized Debt
Obligations (John Wiley & Sons, 2008), and
Dear
Mr. Buffett: What An Investor Learns 1,269 Miles From Wall
Street (John Wiley & Sons January
2009)
Clients
of Tavakoli Structured Finance
have the benefit of proprietary consultation, which is
not available in any other paid or public forum. Clients
also commission proprietary research and analysis.
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